Watching: United States and Canada; Mexico and Central America; South America; Middle East; Europe; Africa; South Asia; China, Mongolia, South Korea, Japan; Southeast Asia and the Pacific.
This map presents a selection of regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies during the one year period beginning in June 2015 and running through May 2016 using 3 months of observed temperature and precipitation data and 9 months of forecast data.
Regional details are available in ISciences' Global Water Monitor & Forecast September 15, 2015 (pdf).
United States and Canada: Deficits may persist in the US Northwest. Deficits in the West may persist for a few months before beginning to transition to moderate surpluses. Surpluses are forecast in the Central and Southern Plains and parts of the eastern US. In contrast, widespread deficits are expected to emerge in the Mississippi Valley from the Gulf of Mexico northward to Minnesota; and, from Canada’s Central Plains eastward through Ontario and into Quebec.
Mexico and Central America: Deficit conditions are forecast to persist in southern Mexico and much of Central America. Surpluses are expected in northwest Mexico.
South America: Deficits may continue across much of northern South America, particularly persistent in northern Brazil, and coastal Peru and Chile. Surpluses may emerge in coastal Ecuador and northern Peru. Surpluses are also forecast for central Paraguay, southern Brazil, Uruguay, and Argentina, and are expected to increase in extent and severity with widespread exceptional surpluses.
Middle East: Extreme to exceptional water deficits may dominate the region, including the Arabian Peninsula, Jordan, southern Iraq, and central Iran. Surplus conditions in Turkey are expected to transition to deficits, increasing in extent and severity.
Europe: Widespread deficits are expected in much of Continental Europe, while surpluses may dominate in the United Kingdom and Ireland. Deficits may transition to surpluses, first in Western Europe and later in Central Europe. However, Mediterranean Spain, Italy, Eastern Europe, and the Balkan Peninsula may experience persistent deficits.
Africa: Exceptional surpluses are expected in East Africa, centered in Tanzania. Exceptional deficits may dominate North Africa and are forecast to persist in coastal West Africa from southern Liberia to Angola. Deficits may strengthen in southern Africa and Madagascar.
South Asia: Extreme to exceptional deficits are forecast in several regions of India: Central Uttar Pradesh; East Madhya Pradesh/Northwest Chhattisgarh; Maharashtra/Northern Karnataka/Telangana.
China, Mongolia, South Korea, Japan: Widespread deficits may continue in North China including the North China Plain and in Mongolia, though some areas may experience both deficits and surpluses. Widespread surpluses are forecast for Southeast China and southern Honshu, Japan. Exceptional deficits may persist in South Korea before beginning to diminish in severity.
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Many parts of Southeast Asia and the Pacific may continue to experience moderate to exceptional water deficits in the coming months, particularly eastern Borneo and neighboring Sulawesi, the island of New Guinea, and the Philippines. Though periods of some respite are forecast, deficits are expected to return and spread in Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, and Vietnam.
- October 2024
- September 2024
- August 2024
- July 2024
- June 2024
- May 2024
- April 2024
- March 2024
- February 2024
- January 2024
- December 2023
- November 2023
- October 2023
- September 2023
- August 2023
- July 2023
- June 2023
- May 2023
- April 2023
- March 2023
- February 2023
- January 2023
- December 2022
- November 2022
- October 2022
- September 2022
- August 2022
- July 2022
- June 2022
- May 2022
- April 2022
- March 2022
- February 2022
- January 2022
- December 2021
- November 2021
- October 2021
- September 2021
- August 2021
- July 2021
- June 2021
- May 2021
- April 2021
- March 2021
- February 2021
- January 2021
- December 2020
- November 2020
- October 2020
- September 2020
- August 2020
- July 2020
- June 2020
- May 2020
- April 2020
- March 2020
- February 2020
- January 2020
- December 2019
- November 2019
- October 2019
- September 2019
- August 2019
- July 2019
- June 2019
- May 2019
- April 2019
- March 2019
- February 2019
- January 2019
- December 2018
- November 2018
- October 2018
- September 2018
- August 2018
- July 2018
- June 2018
- May 2018
- April 2018
- March 2018
- February 2018
- January 2018
- December 2017
- November 2017
- October 2017
- September 2017
- August 2017
- July 2017
- June 2017
- May 2017
- April 2017
- March 2017
- February 2017
- January 2017
- December 2016
- November 2016
- October 2016
- September 2016
- August 2016
- July 2016
- June 2016
- May 2016
- April 2016
- March 2016
- February 2016
- January 2016
- December 2015
- November 2015
- October 2015
- September 2015
- August 2015
- July 2015
- June 2015
- May 2015
- April 2015
- March 2015