In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
The forecast indicates pockets of exceptional anomalies throughout East Asia, ranging from intense deficits in its northern and western regions, and surplus in its southwestern and northeastern regions.
The forecast indicates major anomalies throughout the continent, with intense surplus and transitional conditions throughout much of its central and eastern regions, and major deficits occurring throughout its northwestern areas.
The forecast indicates widespread transitional conditions throughout much of the central Middle East, with anomalies of varying intensity appearing in pockets throughout the rest of the region.
The 12-month forecast anticipates intense surplus to continue in northern and western locations of South Asia, along with deficits in central and eastern regions of the area.
The 12-month forecast indicates widespread anomalies of varying intensity across Southeast Asia and the Pacific. The most intense anomalies are expected to appear mostly throughout the islands of Indonesia and nearby regions.