In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
Most exceptional deficits in the Middle East will resolve, but will linger in some areas of Saudi Arabia, the Levant, Oman, and Iran. Surpluses of varying intensity will continue in western coastal Yemen and southwestern Saudi Arabia.
Widespread exceptional deficits in the Middle East will resolve in some areas, but remain in some portions of Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Iran. Moderate to severe surplus is anticipated in some coastal regions along the Red Sea.
Exceptional deficit anomalies will continue in southern regions of the Middle East, as well as in coastal regions of Turkey. Isolated pockets of exceptional deficit will also persist in Iran. Southwestern coastal areas of the Middle East will continue to observe moderate to severe surplus.