
BLOG
We help you understand environmental and human security issues, impacts, vulnerability, indications and warnings.
Extreme to exceptional surpluses will resolve in most northern regions of Australia. Isolated exceptional deficits throughout Australia are expected to resolve, but some will remain in southeastern coastal regions of the continent, as well as portions of New Zealand.
Exceptional deficits are expected to remain in northwestern and southwestern China, as well as in significant portions of the Yangtze River Basin. Moderate to severe surpluses will continue in several northeastern areas of China.
Exceptional surpluses in western Europe will dissipate. Deficits are expected to remain in several regions of eastern Europe.
Exceptional deficits across Africa will downgrade in size, but remain in pockets of northwestern, central, and south-central regions of the continent. Surpluses are expected to continue along the Sahel.
Widespread exceptional deficits in South America will mostly dissipate, though some anomalies will remain in regions of Brazil and the Southern Cone.
Exceptional deficits in the Northern Territories, West Coast, and Prairie Provinces will downgrade in size, but remain in pockets of the regions. Surpluses of varying intensity are expected in several regions of Nunavut.
Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in several southwestern states, with moderate to severe surpluses enduring in pockets of the Southeast, Pacific Northwest, and Alaska.
The forecast for February 2025 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of November 2024 through October 2025 in northwestern and central Africa, southwestern U.S., eastern Europe, and central South America. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, northern Canada, and Central America.
In this analysis, we examine the destructive 2024 floods in Yemen and revisit WSIM forecasts which predicted them.
Exceptional deficits will resolve in Mainland Southeast Asia. Some regions of Maritime Southeast Asia can anticipate moderate to severe surpluses.
Surpluses will persist in much of north-central, south-central, and eastern India.
Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of northwestern, western, southeastern, and northern Russia. Surpluses are expected to continue in northern Kazakhstan and in pockets of central and eastern Russia.
Surpluses will remain in northern areas of Queensland, as well as some isolated areas of Northern Territory and Western Australia.
Widespread exceptional deficits in the Middle East will resolve in some areas, but remain in some portions of Saudi Arabia, Oman, and Iran. Moderate to severe surplus is anticipated in some coastal regions along the Red Sea.
Surpluses will remain along the Sahel. Exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern, central, and eastern portions of Africa.
Exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern Mexico. Severe to exceptional surpluses will persist in much of Central America.
Widespread deficits in South America will diminish in some countries, but will remain present in several regions of the Amazon, as well as some portions of the Andes.
Exceptional deficits will remain throughout northwestern China and in the Yangtze River Basin. Central and northeastern China will observe moderate to severe surpluses.
Surpluses in western Europe will mostly diminish, while exceptional deficits in eastern Europe will persist.
Most exceptional surpluses in India will resolve. Some surpluses will persist in north-central and south-central India.