The outlook for Canada indicates water deficits of varying severity across the country with pockets of exceptional deficits in parts of Manitoba, Ontario, Quebec, and Newfoundland. Exceptional surpluses are forecast to emerge in southern Quebec in July. After August deficits are expected to diminish in severity and extent across the country, though moderate to severe deficits will persist from British Columbia to northwestern Ontario.
Australia & New Zealand: Water deficits persist in the North, Tasmania, & North Island
Water deficits are forecast to linger for the next six months across parts of northern Australia – particularly the northernmost regions of the Northern Territory and the southern shore of the Gulf of Carpentaria – and also in the southwest tip of Western Australia; Tasmania; and North Island, New Zealand. Moderate surpluses are forecast in August and September along the Macquarie and Lachlan Rivers in New South Wales. Current surpluses farther north in eastern Queensland are expected to persist, and surpluses are forecast to emerge along the Barcoo River in November.
Middle East: Water deficits forecast for the Arabian Peninsula, esp Qatar & UAE
Water deficits are forecast to persist in many parts of the Middle East through February – particularly the Arabian Peninsula – though the extent of exceptional deficits will diminish. Cyprus is forecast to transition out of exceptional deficit after May, while deficits in Qatar and United Arab Emirates may become more severe for the next six months. Pockets of severe to exceptional deficits across southern Turkey are expected to linger through November before diminishing in severity.
Central Asia & Russia: Water surpluses in Kazakhstan, deficits in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan
Exceptional water surpluses are forecast to persist through November or longer in north central Kazakhstan; northeast of the Caspian Sea; along rivers elsewhere in Kazakhstan; and the Volga River Basin in Russia. Surpluses of varying severity are also forecast for northern Kyrgyzstan. Deficits in Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are expected to persist but with diminished severity after August. Moderate to severe water deficits are forecast to emerge in Kazakhstan from September through February.
