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Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits will persist in Chihuahua

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits will persist in Chihuahua

The forecast through August indicates moderate to severe water deficits in Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, and Puebla. Areas with a forecast of surplus include the Yucatan and pockets throughout Central America.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in the Yucatan

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in the Yucatan

The forecast through October indicates that water deficits will downgrade in Mexico but persist from Chihuahua into Durango and along the Coatzacoalcos and Papaloapan Rivers in Veracruz. Areas of surplus include the Yucatan and pockets in Central America.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in the Yucatan

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in the Yucatan

The forecast through September indicates water surpluses in Sonora and the Yucatan and deficits from Mexico City through southern Veracruz. Surpluses will shrink in Central America and deficits will nearly disappear in the Caribbean.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits persist in Chihuahua

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits persist in Chihuahua

The forecast through July indicates that water anomalies will shrink considerably throughout the region but intense deficits will persist in Chihuahua, Mexico and surpluses will persist in Sonora.  Surpluses are also forecast in pockets of Central America.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits forecast for Haiti

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits forecast for Haiti

The forecast through August 2019 indicates that Mexico will transition to nearly normal water conditions in the north with some deficits in Baja and persistent surpluses in northern Coahuila. A small pocket of severe deficit is forecast for northern Puebla State. Moderate deficits are expected in pockets of northern Central America, and surpluses in pockets of the south. Exceptional deficits are forecast for Haiti.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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