Exceptional deficits will remain in northwestern and southern regions of China, while isolated surplus anomalies will continue in western and northeastern areas of the country.
Exceptional deficits will continue in southeastern, northwestern, and western Russia, while northeastern and southeastern Russia will observe severe to extreme surpluses. Regions of Kazakhstan can expect moderate to extreme surpluses in northern and southeastern regions of the country.
Pockets of exceptional deficit will occur in southern regions of Saudi Arabia, Yemen, and Oman, as well as in isolated areas of Iran and Turkey. Small regions of southwestern Saudi Arabia and western Yemen will experience severe to extreme surplus.
Northwestern Mexico will continue to experience exceptional deficits, while central and southern areas of the country will observe severe to exceptional surpluses. Much of Central America can anticipate moderate to severe surplus.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period May 2022 through April 2023 include: Europe, northwest Africa, Chile, Mexico, and California & Texas (US). Areas of significant water surplus include: China, India, Pakistan, Russia, Colombia, and North Dakota (US). This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 5 August 2022.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period December 2021 through November 2022 include: Portugal, Spain, northwest Africa, Chile, and Texas (U.S). Areas of significant water surplus include: eastern Australia, China, India, and Indonesia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 4 March 2022.
The forecast through March 2020 indicates intense water surpluses in Sonora, Mexico, and intense deficits along Mexico’s Pacific Coast in Michoacán, Guerrero, Oaxaca, and Chiapas. Deficits will persist in Veracruz State, reaching inland, and emerge in the Yucatán. Surpluses are forecast in Central America, Haiti’s western coast, and the central Bahamas.
The forecast through August 2019 indicates that Mexico will transition to nearly normal water conditions in the north with some deficits in Baja and persistent surpluses in northern Coahuila. A small pocket of severe deficit is forecast for northern Puebla State. Moderate deficits are expected in pockets of northern Central America, and surpluses in pockets of the south. Exceptional deficits are forecast for Haiti.
The forecast through June indicates water deficits in Baja, Mexico, coastal Sonora, southern Chihuahua, the Pacific Coast from southern Sinaloa through Chiapas, and the Yucatan Peninsula. Areas of surplus include Coahuila, the southern border of Chihuahua and Sonora, and pockets in the center of the country. Some moderate deficits are expected Central America, Haiti, and Dominican Republic.
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