Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Pockets of ...

Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Pockets of surpluses persist throughout SE Asia
South Asia
ISciences staff
South Asia: Surplus continues throughout India, ...

Severe to exceptional surpluses are expected to persist in several regions of India and emerge in Bangladesh. Some South Asian countries will observe isolated pockets of deficit. 

South Asia: Surplus continues throughout India, Bangladesh
Middle East
ISciences staff
Middle East: Exceptional deficits to continue ...

Exceptional deficit anomalies will continue in southern regions of the Middle East, as well as in coastal regions of Turkey. Isolated pockets of exceptional deficit will also persist in Iran. Southwestern coastal areas of the Middle East will continue to observe moderate to severe surplus. 

Middle East: Exceptional deficits to continue in S countries
Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Deficits linger near ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.

Central Asia & Russia: Deficits linger near Lake Baikal
Africa
ISciences staff
Africa: Surplus to continue along the Sahel

Exceptional deficits will mostly resolve in northern, southern, and central countries, but will persist in the Horn of Africa. Surpluses along the Sahel are expected to remain. 

Africa: Surplus to continue along the Sahel

San Luis Potosi

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in Mexico will shrink

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in Mexico will shrink

The forecast through October indicates that water deficits in Mexico will shrink and downgrade, but will be intense in Puebla, Querétaro, San Luis Potosí, and Chihuahua. Surpluses are forecast in northeastern Sonora and many regions of Central America.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for C America

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for C America

The forecast through January 2021 indicates water deficits in much of Mexico with intense anomalies in central Baja, southern Chihuahua, and from Nuevo León into Puebla. Areas of surplus include the Yucatán, Central America, Jamaica, and the Bahamas.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in many regions of Mexico

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in many regions of Mexico

The forecast through December indicates water deficits in much of Mexico outside of the Yucatán. Anomalies will be intense in southern Baja, Chihuahua, Coahuila, and eastern states. Surpluses are forecast in pockets of Central America and the Caribbean.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Moderate water deficits forecast for S. Mexico

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Moderate water deficits forecast for S. Mexico

The forecast through June indicates water deficits in Baja, Mexico, coastal Sonora, southern Chihuahua, the Pacific Coast from southern Sinaloa through Chiapas, and the Yucatan Peninsula. Areas of surplus include Coahuila, the southern border of Chihuahua and Sonora, and pockets in the center of the country. Some moderate deficits are expected Central America, Haiti, and Dominican Republic.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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