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Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits will persist in Chihuahua

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits will persist in Chihuahua

The forecast through August indicates moderate to severe water deficits in Chihuahua, Coahuila, Nuevo León, Tamaulipas, and Puebla. Areas with a forecast of surplus include the Yucatan and pockets throughout Central America.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surpluses forecast in Sonora

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surpluses forecast in Sonora

The forecast through September indicates that water deficits in northern Mexico will retreat and surpluses will emerge in Sonora and Durango. In the south, surpluses will retreat as generally mild deficits emerge. Deficits will also emerge in El Salvador.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for C America

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for C America

The forecast through January 2021 indicates water deficits in much of Mexico with intense anomalies in central Baja, southern Chihuahua, and from Nuevo León into Puebla. Areas of surplus include the Yucatán, Central America, Jamaica, and the Bahamas.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in many regions of Mexico

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in many regions of Mexico

The forecast through December indicates water deficits in much of Mexico outside of the Yucatán. Anomalies will be intense in southern Baja, Chihuahua, Coahuila, and eastern states. Surpluses are forecast in pockets of Central America and the Caribbean.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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