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Central Asia & Russia: Widespread water surplus in N European Russia

Central Asia & Russia: Widespread water surplus in N European Russia

The forecast through May indicates widespread moderate-to-exceptional water surpluses in Russia from the Northern European Plain into the Western Siberian Plain. Exceptional deficits are forecast for the Central Siberian Plateau, north and southeast of Lake Baikal, and in western Kazakhstan along the Caspian coast.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus in Sonora, MX & Central America

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus in Sonora, MX & Central America

The forecast through May indicates intense water surpluses in Sonora, Mexico, and surpluses of varying intensity in many regions of Central America. Deficits will increase in Chihuahua and Coahuila in northern Mexico and in the eastern Yucatan.

South Asia: Widespread water surplus will persist

South Asia: Widespread water surplus will persist

Widespread water surpluses are forecast to persist through May in India, Bangladesh, Nepal, northern Pakistan and along rivers, and eastern Afghanistan. Anomalies will be exceptional in several regions including along the Ganges, from Mumbai into Karnataka, and central Madhya Pradesh.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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