Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Deficits linger near ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.

Central Asia & Russia: Deficits linger near Lake Baikal
Africa
ISciences staff
Africa: Surplus to continue along the Sahel

Exceptional deficits will mostly resolve in northern, southern, and central countries, but will persist in the Horn of Africa. Surpluses along the Sahel are expected to remain. 

Africa: Surplus to continue along the Sahel
Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surplus emerges throughout S Mexico, Central America
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe

Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity. 

Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues ...

Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.  

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues in N Australia

Thailand

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Surpluses will increase in the Philippines

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Surpluses will increase in the Philippines

The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses will downgrade in Southeast Asia but remain widespread, increase in the Philippines and New Guinea, and shrink in Indonesia. Deficits will emerge in Sumatra.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water surplus will shrink in SE Asia, persist elsewhere

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water surplus will shrink in SE Asia, persist elsewhere

The forecast through September indicates that water surpluses will shrink considerably in Southeast Asia and remain widespread elsewhere, persisting with intensity in the Lesser Sunda Islands. Deficits will emerge in western Thailand and pockets of western Cambodia.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

The forecast through January 2021 indicates widespread, intense water surpluses in Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and eastern Thailand. Surpluses of lesser intensity are expected in the Philippines and eastern Indonesia. Deficits are forecast for pockets in northern Thailand.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Exceptional water surplus forecast on Lower Mekong

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Exceptional water surplus forecast on Lower Mekong

The forecast through December indicates that water deficits will nearly disappear. Many areas of surplus are forecast including Vietnam, Laos, eastern Cambodia, and central Indonesia. Surpluses will be exceptional on the Mekong River through Cambodia and Vietnam.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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