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East Asia: Water surplus forecast for the Yellow & Yangtze Basins

East Asia: Water surplus forecast for the Yellow & Yangtze Basins

The forecast through April indicates widespread water surpluses in the Yellow River Basin, the Yangtze Basin, Northeast China, and Tibet. Intense deficits are expected in Yunnan and Mongolia and severe deficits in Hainan. In North Korea, deficits are forecast in the northeast.

South Asia: Intense water surplus forecast for Madhya Pradesh

South Asia: Intense water surplus forecast for Madhya Pradesh

The forecast through April indicates that water surpluses will dominate much of India’s breadth and will be exceptional in central Madhya Pradesh. Deficits will emerge in the Far Northeast. Intense surpluses will persist in Bangladesh and Nepal and shrink somewhat in Pakistan and Afghanistan.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to persist in Thailand

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to persist in Thailand

The forecast through April indicates persistent water deficits in Thailand and western Cambodia though the extent of exceptional deficits will shrink to small pockets. Intense surpluses will persist in western Myanmar, Vietnam’s North Central Coast, and northern Mindanao.

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus will increase in Ob River Basin

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus will increase in Ob River Basin

The forecast through April indicates widespread intense water surpluses in Russia from the Northern European Plain into the Western Siberian Plain. Exceptional deficits are forecast for the Central Siberian Plateau, north and southeast of Lake Baikal, and in western Kazakhstan.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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