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Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits forecast north of the Caspian Sea

Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits forecast north of the Caspian Sea

The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses in Northern European Russia will downgrade somewhat but surpluses will increase, reaching east to the Yenisei River Watershed. Intense deficits are expected in western Kazakhstan north of the Caspian Sea.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in Sonora MX

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus will persist in Sonora MX

The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses will persist in northwestern Mexico and around Monterrey in Nuevo Leon. Deficits will persist in southeastern Chihuahua. Surpluses will shrink but persist in pockets of Central America.

Canada: Water surplus will emerge in Gatineau River Watershed

Canada: Water surplus will emerge in Gatineau River Watershed

The forecast through June indicates water surpluses near Toronto and Calgary, and deficits for Winnipeg, Regina, and Vancouver Island. Deficits will shrink in Quebec but remain widespread in the north, and surpluses will emerge in the Gatineau River Watershed. Surpluses will increase in southeastern British Columbia.

Middle East: Intense water deficits forecast for Saudi Arabia & UAE

Middle East: Intense water deficits forecast for Saudi Arabia & UAE

The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses in the region will shrink overall, but persist from central Turkey through Syria, northeastern Iraq, western Iran, the Caspian Coast, and Iranian provinces near the Persian Gulf. Exceptional deficits will increase in central Saudi Arabia.

Australia & New Zealand: Water surplus forecast in Murray-Darling

Australia & New Zealand: Water surplus forecast in Murray-Darling

The forecast through June indicates that widespread water surpluses of varying intensity will emerge in the Murray-Darling Basin of southeastern Australia. Deficits will shrink in southern New Zealand, increase in the north, and shrink and moderate in New Caledonia.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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