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Middle East: Intense water deficits forecast for Saudi Arabia & UAE

Middle East: Intense water deficits forecast for Saudi Arabia & UAE

The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses in the region will shrink overall, but persist from central Turkey through Syria, northeastern Iraq, western Iran, the Caspian Coast, and Iranian provinces near the Persian Gulf. Exceptional deficits will increase in central Saudi Arabia.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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