In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
The forecast indicates that Australia will experience widespread mild deficits, with small pockets of more intense anomalies scattered throughout the continent. Non-contiguous areas of the region are expected to observe intense deficits.
The forecast anticipates pockets of intense surplus throughout southwestern and northeastern provinces, with some southern and central areas experiencing intense deficits.
The forecast anticipates widespread deficits throughout much of Mainland Southeast Asia, with mixtures of moderate deficits and surplus also appearing across most Indonesian islands.
The forecast anticipates intense surplus to persist throughout most of the region’s northwestern areas. Widespread, mostly mild deficits are expected to persist across the majority of the remaining areas.
The forecast for Central Asia indicates anomalies of varying intensity across the region, with surpluses primarily in northern and central regions, and pockets of deficit in western and southern regions.