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Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for C. America

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus forecast for C. America

The forecast through August indicates that water conditions will normalize in much of Mexico though intense surpluses will persist in northeastern Sonora and moderate deficits will emerge in Baja. Surpluses are forecast in Central America.

Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits in W Kazakhstan

Central Asia & Russia: Water deficits in W Kazakhstan

The forecast through August indicates that water surpluses from northern European Russia through the Western Siberian Plain will shrink. Deficits are forecast for the Taz, Lower Yenisei, and Tunguska River regions in Russia and in western Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan.

Africa: Water deficits to emerge in Botswana

Africa: Water deficits to emerge in Botswana

The forecast through August indicates that water deficits will increase and intensify across northern Africa; nearly normal conditions are forecast in the Sahel. Surpluses in East Africa will remain widespread, particularly in Tanzania. Intense deficits will emerge in south-central Botswana.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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