The forecast through August indicates that widespread water surpluses in the region will shrink on the Arabian Peninsula as transitions occur but persist in Iran, northern Iraq, and from northern Syria into Turkey. Areas of deficit include central Iran; Riyadh Province, Saudi Arabia; and Oman.
Middle East: Intense water deficits to emerge in Riyadh Province
The forecast through September indicates that widespread water surpluses will persist from southeastern Turkey through northern Iraq into northwestern Iran and along the southern shore of the Caspian Sea. Surpluses will remain intense, but conditions of both deficit and surplus are also forecast as transitions occur. Deficits are forecast for the southern Arabian Peninsula and will be especially intense in Riyadh Province, Saudi Arabia.