The forecast through August indicates that widespread water surpluses in the region will shrink on the Arabian Peninsula as transitions occur but persist in Iran, northern Iraq, and from northern Syria into Turkey. Areas of deficit include central Iran; Riyadh Province, Saudi Arabia; and Oman.
Middle East: Water surplus will persist in Syria, Iraq, & Iran
Through January 2020 moderate to exceptional surpluses will persist from northern Iraq through a vast expanse of western Iran reaching past the Iran-Turkmen border. Exceptional surpluses will re-emerge in northern Syria and moderate surpluses in western Iraq. Deficits will shrink and downgrade considerably, persisting in Georgia and Riyadh Region, Saudi Arabia.
Middle East: Intense water surplus forecast for N Syria
Middle East: Intense water deficits to emerge in Saudi Arabia
The forecast through November indicates that widespread, intense water surpluses will persist in the region from southeastern Turkey and northern Syria through northern Iraq into northwestern Iran, and along the southeastern shore of the Caspian Sea and the Iran-Turkmen border. Exceptional deficits are forecast to emerge in a vast block of central Saudi Arabia.
Middle East: Water surpluses to persist in Syria, Iraq, & W. Iran
The forecast through June indicates that widespread water surpluses will persist from northern Syria into southern Turkey, from the Euphrates River in Iraq well into western Iran, and in northern Iran along the coast. Deficits will downgrade on the Arabian Peninsula but will remain widespread. Central and northern Turkey will transition from surplus to moderate deficit.