In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
The forecast anticipates that widespread exceptional deficits will resolve in some north-central and southern areas, but remain widespread in northwestern and central portions of the continent.
The forecast indicates that widespread exceptional deficits will diminish across a significant portion of South America, though will still remain in some regions of Brazil and the Bolivarian Nations.
The forecast indicates that intense surplus will persist in northern Australia and expand across southeastern regions of the country. Deficits will mostly disappear from the region, though some anomalies will linger in Tasmania.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern and southern China. Pockets of severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in southwestern to central China, as well as isolated regions of southeastern and northeastern China.
The forecast indicates that deficits will downgrade in intensity across most of Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and Syria, but will remain present throughout most of the region.