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Australia & New Zealand: Water surplus forecast from Brisbane through the Alps

Australia & New Zealand: Water surplus forecast from Brisbane through the Alps

The forecast through January 2021 indicates that much of the region will return to near-normal conditions as water deficits retreat. Surpluses will persist in the central Murray-Darling Basin, increase in Riverina, and increase from Brisbane through the Australian Alps.

East Asia: Water surplus will persist in Yellow, Yangtze, & NE China

East Asia: Water surplus will persist in Yellow, Yangtze, & NE China

The forecast through January 2021 indicates that widespread, intense water surpluses will persist in Northeast China and the Yellow and Yangtze Basins, shrinking south of the Yangtze. Deficits will increase in northwestern and coastal southeastern China. Deficits are forecast in Japan and surpluses in North Korea.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Widespread water surplus to persist in SE Asia

The forecast through January 2021 indicates widespread, intense water surpluses in Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, and eastern Thailand. Surpluses of lesser intensity are expected in the Philippines and eastern Indonesia. Deficits are forecast for pockets in northern Thailand.

South Asia: Water surplus will persist in Bangladesh & SW India

South Asia: Water surplus will persist in Bangladesh & SW India

The forecast through January 2021 indicates intense water surpluses in much of western India and the Deccan Plateau, Bangladesh, eastern Nepal into western Bhutan, and in the upper Harirud and Helmand River Watersheds of Afghanistan. Deficits will emerge in northwestern India.

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus forecast in the Ob Basin, deficits in the Lena

Central Asia & Russia: Water surplus forecast in the Ob Basin, deficits in the Lena

The forecast through January 2021 indicates widespread water surpluses in the Ob River Watershed and widespread deficits in the Lena River Watershed. Surpluses in northern Kazakhstan will remain exceptional and surpluses on the Amu Darya River will become exceptional.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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