Update: Forecast for Iran Moderates

The current forecast for Iran for the 6-month period ending in November 2015 has moderated relative to last month’s forecast. The revised forecast calls for widespread severe to exceptional deficits, but is generally less dire than the broad region of exceptional deficits in the prior forecast.

WSIM Composite Water Anomaly Index for Jun 2015 through Nov 2015

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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