Central Asia & Russia: Surpluses are forecast along rivers in Kazakhstan and between the Urals and the Siberian Plateau in Russia

Surpluses are forecast in northern Kyrgyzstan and along rivers in Kazakhstan as shown in the 12-month composite map (below). Across the border into the center of Russia widespread surpluses are forecast for an area from the Ural Mountains to the Central Siberian Plateau. Moderate water deficits are expected in Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and eastern Tajikistan. 

The 3-month composites (below) for the same 12-month period show the evolving conditions in more detail. Water deficits are forecast to emerge in northern Kazakhstan December through February with some areas experiencing both deficits and surpluses. Moderate to severe deficits are forecast for Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan June through August. Both deficits and surpluses are expected in Russia between the Urals and the Central Siberian Plateau June through August. (It should be noted that forecast skill declines with longer lead times.)