Regions likely to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from January 2017 through December 2017 include: Arkansas and Florida (US), Quebec (Canada), Brazil, Finland, Estonia, Denmark, Libya, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Tamil Nadu (India), Borneo, and New Guinea. Water surpluses are forecast for: Idaho and the Pacific Northwest (US), southwestern Zambia, the Okavango Delta (Botswana), northeastern Pakistan, between the Irtysh and Tom Rivers (Russia), central Vietnam, and eastern Queensland (Australia). This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) Global Water Monitor and Forecast issued 7 April 2017.
Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits persist in Cambodia, surpluses in Laos & Vietnam
Though water surpluses are forecast for many parts of the region through February, exceptional deficits will persist in Cambodia through May. Exceptional surpluses are forecast to persist through February in Laos and in central Vietnam through May. Surpluses of lesser severity are forecast for the next three months in the southern Malay Peninsula, Java, southern Vietnam, and Gorontalo, Indonesia.
Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook for December 2016
The December 2016 Precipitation & Temperature Outlook indicates that many parts of South Asia, East Asia, and Southeast Asia are forecast to be much warmer than normal. Significant dry anomalies are expected to envelope Sri Lanka. Wet anomalies are forecast for Kazakhstan, northern Mongolia, Myanmar, the Malaysian Peninsula, Western Australia, Cameroon, Equatorial Guinea, Gabon, and Venezuela.
Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits persist in Thailand, Cambodia, Malay Peninsula
Thailand, Laos, Cambodia, and the Malay Peninsula are forecast to continue in conditions of water deficit, which will be especially severe in Cambodia. Surpluses in western Borneo will diminish by September while surpluses on Java, and Flores Island may persist longer. From November on, deficits will increase in extent and severity on the Malay Peninsula and Sumatra, and will emerge in northeastern Borneo.
Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook for August 2016
The August forecast indicates widespread severe to exceptional warm anomalies across vast stretches of northern South America, North Africa, Saudi Arabia, and Southeast Asia, with anomalies of lesser severity in many other parts of the world. Scattered precipitation anomalies include dry anomalies in Nepal and in Amapá, Brazil. Wet anomalies are predicted for the island of New Guinea, eastern Kyrgyzstan, China's Taklamakan Desert, Arizona, and Sonora.