Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions.
Severe to exceptional surpluses are expected to persist in several regions of India and emerge in Bangladesh. Some South Asian countries will observe isolated pockets of deficit.
Exceptional deficit anomalies will continue in southern regions of the Middle East, as well as in coastal regions of Turkey. Isolated pockets of exceptional deficit will also persist in Iran. Southwestern coastal areas of the Middle East will continue to observe moderate to severe surplus.
Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period February 2022 through January 2023 include: Estonia, France, North Africa, Iran, Mangystau (Kazakhstan), Chile, and Texas and the U.S. West. Areas of significant water surplus include: eastern Australia, Indonesia, China, India, and Tanzania. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 5 May 2022.
Exceptionally hotter than normal temperatures are indicated in the April 2022 Outlook for many regions in the Middle East, Central and South Asia, Siberia, and the Yellow (Huang He) and Yangtze River Basins in China. In Central Asia and parts of the Middle East conditions will also be drier than normal.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of December 2020 through November 2021 include: Brazil, Estonia, Latvia, and the U.S. Southwest. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Northeast China, Botswana, and the Philippines. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 March 2021.
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