The forecast through July indicates widespread water surpluses in India from Madhya Pradesh to the west coast, in West Bengal and neighboring states, and from southeastern Karnataka to Chennai. Deficits in Pakistan and Afghanistan will shrink and moderate.
South Asia: Intense water surplus to persist in Pakistan & Afghanistan
The forecast through July indicates that water surpluses will shrink considerably overall but remain widespread and intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan. Areas of surplus in India include the Far North, central Rajasthan, and Karnataka. Deficits will intensify in India’s Far Northeast and emerge in coastal Maharashtra.
South Asia: Widespread water surpluses will persist
Through January 2020 surpluses are forecast for much of the region including exceptional anomalies in India from Mumbai into Kerala, the Narmada River Basin, and central Rajasthan. Surpluses will remain intense throughout Bangladesh and will increase in Afghanistan, with exceptional anomalies forecast in the Upper Helmand River Watershed and around Mazar-e Sharif.
South Asia: Water deficits in India forecast to diminish
The forecast through September indicates that many parts of India will return to normal water conditions. However, deficits are forecast in southern Karnataka and in Kerala and Tamil Nadu. Moderate surpluses will increase in Gujarat and western Maharashtra. Widespread, intense surpluses will persist in Afghanistan, and surpluses in Pakistan will shrink but persist.
South Asia: Widespread water surpluses forecast in Afghanistan
The forecast through August 2019 indicates persistent, widespread water surpluses in Afghanistan with exceptional surpluses around Mazar-e Sharif and from Kandahar to Kabul. Exceptional deficits will emerge in southwestern Pakistan. In India, mild deficits or normal water conditions are forecast for most of the country, with moderate deficits in Kerala, northern Tamil Nadu, southeastern Madhya Pradesh, and Uttaranchal. Moderate surpluses will emerge in central Gujarat.