Most exceptional surpluses in Maritime Southeast Asia will downgrade in severity, becoming mostly severe to exceptional surpluses in Indonesia and the Philippines, with near-normal conditions occurring in most other regions. Deficits are expected in northern areas of Thailand and Laos.
Pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and central Mexico. Significant portions of Central America will observe severe to exceptional surpluses.
Most exceptional deficits in the Middle East will resolve, but will linger in some areas of Saudi Arabia, the Levant, Oman, and Iran. Surpluses of varying intensity will continue in western coastal Yemen and southwestern Saudi Arabia.
Most exceptional surpluses in India will resolve. Some surpluses will persist in north-central and south-central India.
Extreme to exceptional surpluses will resolve in most northern regions of Australia. Isolated exceptional deficits throughout Australia are expected to resolve, but some will remain in southeastern coastal regions of the continent, as well as portions of New Zealand.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of April 2020 through March 2021 include: Venezuela, French Guiana, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Equatorial Guinea, and Gabon. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, Pakistan, Afghanistan, northern European Russia, and British Columbia, Canada. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 6 July 2020.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of March 2020 through February 2021 include: Chile, Venezuela, French Guiana, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Equatorial Guinea, and Gabon. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, Pakistan, Afghanistan, northern European Russia, and Tennessee and Michigan in the US. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 June 2020.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2020 through January 2021 include: Chile, Brazil, French Guiana, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Belarus, and Ukraine. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and northern European Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 4 May 2020.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of January 2020 through December 2020 include: Chile, Brazil, French Guiana, Estonia, Latvia, Ukraine, and Thailand. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, European Russia, India, and northern Pakistan. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 6 April 2020.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of December 2019 through November 2020 include: Chile, Brazil, Ukraine, Cambodia, and Kazakhstan. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, UK, European Russia, Syria, Iran, and Northern Pakistan. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 March 2020.
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