The forecast through October indicates a pattern of water anomalies similar to May through July though the intensity will downgrade in some regions. Areas of deficit include Finland, the Baltics through Ukraine, and France through Germany. Areas of surplus include Russia, Spain, and the U.K.
Europe: Water deficits in C. Europe & around the Baltic
Europe: Water deficits forecast to increase
The forecast through July indicates that exceptional water deficits will increase in Finland, the Baltics, Belarus, and Ukraine, and deficits of varying intensity will increase in Eastern Europe, many pockets of Central Europe, Italy, and the northern Balkans. Surpluses will shrink considerably in the U.K.
ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List May 2020
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2020 through January 2021 include: Chile, Brazil, French Guiana, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Belarus, and Ukraine. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, Pakistan, Afghanistan, and northern European Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 4 May 2020.
Europe: Intense water deficits Finland, Baltics, Ukraine
The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses will diminish in Central Europe and will shrink and moderate in Ireland and the United Kingdom. Intense deficits are forecast from Finland through eastern Bulgaria, and deficits of varying intensity in Central and Eastern Europe and from Moscow to the Caspian Sea.