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Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook December 2019

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook December 2019

The Outlook for December 2019 indicates that conditions throughout India will be much wetter than normal and will include exceptional anomalies. Temperatures along India’s east coast will be warmer than normal, as will temperatures in much of Indonesia. Central Africa is forecast to be cooler than normal.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Intense water deficits forecast for Cambodia & Java

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Intense water deficits forecast for Cambodia & Java

Through January 2020 surpluses will persist in Laos, Vietnam, eastern Cambodia, and Myanmar. Intense deficits will persist in northwestern Cambodia and deficits of lesser intensity are forecast for much of Thailand. Deficits are also forecast for southern Sumatra, Java, southern Borneo, and Papua New Guinea. Anomalies will be especially widespread and intense in Java.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Extreme water deficits forecast Sumatra & Java

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Extreme water deficits forecast Sumatra & Java

The forecast through December indicates water surplus in Myanmar, Laos, eastern Cambodia, and Vietnam. Deficits are expected around Tonlé Sap, Cambodia, and in Malaysia, Sumatra, Java, Indonesian Borneo, northern New Guinea, and the eastern Philippines. Deficits will be extreme in Sumatra and Java.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List October 2019

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List October 2019

Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from July 2019 through June 2020 include: Canada, Brazil, French Guiana, Chile, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Ukraine, Egypt, Libya, United Arab Emirates, and Australia. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: United States, Uruguay, Tanzania, Ireland, United Kingdom, India, Bangladesh, and China. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 7 October 2019

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits forecast for Malaysia & Indonesia

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits forecast for Malaysia & Indonesia

The forecast through October indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade considerably in Thailand, and surpluses will shrink and downgrade in Cambodia, Laos, and Vietnam. Surpluses in Myanmar will remain intense in the west and south. Severe deficits will emerge in Malaysia and Indonesia.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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