Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.
Exceptional deficits will mostly resolve in northern, southern, and central countries, but will persist in the Horn of Africa. Surpluses along the Sahel are expected to remain.
Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico.
Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity.
The forecast through May indicates that water surpluses will shrink in Europe though remain widespread in the U.K., Ireland, and northern European Russia, and will be intense in Ireland and Russia. Intense deficits are forecast for Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Belarus, western Ukraine, and eastern Bulgaria.
The forecast through March 2020 indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade in western Ukraine, Belarus, and the Baltics but become exceptional in Moldova, southern Ukraine, eastern Bulgaria, and west-central Poland. Deficits will remain intense in much of Finland. Widespread intense surpluses will persist in northern European Russia. Surpluses in Ireland and the U.K. will moderate.
Through January 2020 deficits will shrink and downgrade overall, though widespread and exceptional anomalies will persist in Finland. Deficits are expected in the Baltics, Eastern Europe, the Balkans, and Italy. Areas of surpluses include Ireland, the U.K., France, northwestern Spain, Switzerland, Denmark, and northern European Russia. Surpluses will be intense in Wales, England, and Russia.
The forecast through December indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade overall leaving many areas with moderate deficit or normal conditions, but widespread, severe to exceptional anomalies will persist in Finland and around the Baltic Sea. Pockets of intense deficit will persist in central Ukraine, southeastern Germany, and central France. Areas of surplus include Ireland and the UK, and northern European Russia.
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