The forecast through November indicates that water surpluses will remain widespread in Northeast China and the Yellow and Yangtze Basins, downgrading in the rivers’ upper regions. Deficits are forecast in South and Southeast China. Japan can expect surpluses in the south, deficits in Hokkaido.
Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook December 2019
The Outlook for December 2019 indicates that conditions throughout India will be much wetter than normal and will include exceptional anomalies. Temperatures along India’s east coast will be warmer than normal, as will temperatures in much of Indonesia. Central Africa is forecast to be cooler than normal.
East Asia: Water surpluses will persist but downgrade in SE China
The forecast through November indicates that water anomalies will shrink and downgrade in the region though surpluses will remain widespread in several vast areas of China including the southeast and northeast. Deficits will downgrade on the Shandong Peninsula, retreat from South Korea, and persist in North Korea, especially around Pyongyang. Near-normal conditions will return to a vast extent across the middle of China and the south. Moderate surpluses will persist in Kyushu, Japan.
East Asia: Widespread water deficits forecast for Mongolia
The forecast through April indicates a vast stretch of intense water deficits in southern and eastern Mongolia and into Inner Mongolia, China. Moderate surpluses will emerge on the Lower Reaches of the Yellow River. Widespread surpluses will persist in the Yangtze Basin’s Lower Reaches and in the southern portion of the Middle Reaches, reaching into Guangxi. Surpluses will be exceptional in Shanghai and Jiangsu. Deficits are forecast for North Korea and northern Honshu, Japan. Some surpluses are forecast for South Korea and Kyushu, Japan.
East Asia: Widespread water surpluses to continue in Southeast China
The forecast through March indicates a vast block of exceptional water deficits in southern Mongolia and Inner Mongolia, and a path of intense deficits stretching to China’s western border. Beijing, Hebei, and western Liaoning will also see exceptional deficits, and deficits are forecast in Shandong and Shanxi. Other areas of deficits include Henan, Hubei, Shaanxi, eastern Sichuan, eastern Yunnan, and Hong Kong. Surpluses in Southeast China will increase, with exceptional surpluses forecast on the Lower and Middle Yangtze River and in Jiangxi, Hunan, and into eastern Guangxi.