Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Deficits linger near ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.

Central Asia & Russia: Deficits linger near Lake Baikal
Africa
ISciences staff
Africa: Surplus to continue along the Sahel

Exceptional deficits will mostly resolve in northern, southern, and central countries, but will persist in the Horn of Africa. Surpluses along the Sahel are expected to remain. 

Africa: Surplus to continue along the Sahel
Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Severe to exceptional surplus will affect several regions of southern Mexico and Central America. Severe to exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern and central areas of Mexico. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Surplus emerges throughout S Mexico, Central America
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe

Widespread severe to exceptional surpluses in western and central Europe will mostly resolve, becoming near-normal conditions. Eastern European countries are expected to observe widespread deficits of varying intensity. 

Europe: Deficits to occur in E Europe
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues ...

Moderate to severe surpluses will remain in northern areas of Australia.  

Australia & New Zealand: Surplus continues in N Australia

Sao Paulo

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook July 2022

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook July 2022

Our July 2022 Outlook indicates that temperatures will be exceptionally hotter than normal across vast extents of Brazil and China. Wetter than normal conditions are expected in Queensland, Australia, particularly in the northwest.

South America: Intense water deficits in C Brazil, Peru, Chile

South America: Intense water deficits in C Brazil, Peru, Chile

The forecast through July indicates widespread water deficits across central Brazil, exceptional in Tocantins, Mato Grosso, Goiás, and the Paraná River. Deficits are also expected in central Peru and much of Chile. Surpluses are forecast in the northwestern Amazon Basin.

South America: Water deficits will shrink overall

South America: Water deficits will shrink overall

The forecast through January 2021 indicates that water deficits will shrink considerably, but deficits are forecast from western Venezuela into Peru, and in southern Guyana, southeastern Brazil, and southern Chile. Areas of surplus include northeastern Venezuela and northern Pará, Brazil.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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