Southeast Asia & Pacific
ISciences staff
Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses arise ...

Exceptional deficits will resolve in Mainland Southeast Asia. Some regions of Maritime Southeast Asia can anticipate moderate to severe surpluses. 

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Surpluses arise in Maritime Southeast Asia
South Asia
ISciences staff
South Asia: Surplus remains in several regions ...

Surpluses will persist in much of north-central, south-central, and eastern India. 

South Asia: Surplus remains in several regions of India
Central Asia & Russia
ISciences staff
Central Asia & Russia: Surpluses continue ...

Exceptional deficits will occur in portions of northwestern, western, southeastern, and northern Russia. Surpluses are expected to continue in northern Kazakhstan and in pockets of central and eastern Russia.

Central Asia & Russia: Surpluses continue in N Kazakhstan
Australia & New Zealand
ISciences staff
Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses continue ...

Surpluses will remain in northern areas of Queensland, as well as some isolated areas of Northern Territory and Western Australia. 

Australia & New Zealand: Surpluses continue in Queensland
Africa
ISciences staff
Africa: Surpluses in Sahel to continue

Surpluses will remain along the Sahel. Exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern, central, and eastern portions of Africa.  

Africa: Surpluses in Sahel to continue

Africa

Southern Africa: Severe-to-Exceptional Water Deficits to Spread and Intensify through January 2016

Severe to exceptional water deficits in southern and central Angola are forecast to continue through January 2016. The deficits spread to Namibia in June, decreasing in intensity in Northern Namibia in October but remaining exceptional in Southern Namibia through January 2016.

Coastal West Africa: Exceptional Water Deficits through Oct 2015

40-year and greater water deficits are forecast for Coastal West Africa starting in July 2015 and continuing through October 2015, with some areas remaining in exceptional deficit status through the end of the year. These deficits will affect the coastal regions of Liberia, Ivory Coast, Ghana, Togo, Benin, Nigeria, and Cameroon. Although monthly deficits decline after October 2015, no recovery is expected, on an annual basis, until sometime after January 2016.

Coastal Western Africa: Exceptional deficit impacts through end of 2015

WSIM forecasts a widespread and exceptional drought for coastal West Africa (Gabon through Sierra Leone) peaking from July through Dec 2015. The affected region includes heavily populated areas of Nigeria and the countries facing challenges in the aftermath of the Ebola outbreak.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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