The forecast through June indicates widespread water deficits across North Africa with large areas of exceptional deficit, but deficits in the Horn will shrink and downgrade. Areas of surplus include Nigeria, Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Tanzania, and Zambia.
Africa: Water surplus will persist in the Sahel
Africa: Water surplus to persist in the Sahel & E. Africa
Africa: Water deficits to persist in S. Africa & Lesotho
Through January 2020 deficits will shrink and downgrade considerably, though intense deficits are expected in coastal Mauritania, eastern South Africa, and Lesotho. Surpluses will increase in East Africa and in nations along the northern shore of the Gulf of Guinea, with exceptional anomalies in central Nigeria and extreme and widespread surpluses in Tanzania.
Africa: Pockets of intense water deficits will persist in Namibia
The forecast through July indicates that water deficits will downgrade in the southern half of the continent and across its midsection from the Gulf of Guinea to the Horn of Africa but will intensify across northern Africa with exceptional deficits expected. Moderate to severe deficits are forecast in the south, with intense deficits in Namibia. Areas of surpluses include Tanzania, northern Madagascar, the mouth of the Congo River, and the northern coast of the Gulf of Guinea.