The forecast through August indicates widespread water surpluses from the Yangtze River south, particularly intense in the Pearl River Watershed where anomalies will be exceptional throughout much of Guangxi. Deficits are forecast in South Korea and Japan.
East Asia: Water surpluses will retreat from southern China
The forecast through September indicates that water surpluses will retreat from the Pearl River Basin, downgrade in the Yellow River Basin, and moderate in the lower and middle regions of the Yangtze. Deficits will shrink in Mongolia and Xinjiang but intensify in Yunnan and Guangdong. Surpluses will increase in North Korea.
East Asia: Yangtze water surpluses will retreat
East Asia: Water surplus forecast in Pearl River Basin
The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses will retreat in the Lower and Middle Yangtze Basin, transitioning to moderate deficits in the Lower Basin. Surpluses will increase in the Pearl River Basin and Southeast China. Deficits will emerge in eastern Mongolia, and Honshu and Hokkaido, Japan.
Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook January 2019
The January Outlook indicates much wetter than normal conditions forecast for southern China through the Pearl River Basin encompassing the Pearl’s northern tributaries; and, oceans away in Uruguay. Temperatures in Northeast China are expected to be exceptionally warmer than usual, anomalies with a return period of 40 or more years.