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Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in many regions of Mexico

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits in many regions of Mexico

The forecast through December indicates water deficits in much of Mexico outside of the Yucatán. Anomalies will be intense in southern Baja, Chihuahua, Coahuila, and eastern states. Surpluses are forecast in pockets of Central America and the Caribbean.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits persist in Chihuahua

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits persist in Chihuahua

The forecast through July indicates that water anomalies will shrink considerably throughout the region but intense deficits will persist in Chihuahua, Mexico and surpluses will persist in Sonora.  Surpluses are also forecast in pockets of Central America.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus in Sonora, MX & Central America

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water surplus in Sonora, MX & Central America

The forecast through May indicates intense water surpluses in Sonora, Mexico, and surpluses of varying intensity in many regions of Central America. Deficits will increase in Chihuahua and Coahuila in northern Mexico and in the eastern Yucatan.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits forecast for Haiti

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Water deficits forecast for Haiti

The forecast through August 2019 indicates that Mexico will transition to nearly normal water conditions in the north with some deficits in Baja and persistent surpluses in northern Coahuila. A small pocket of severe deficit is forecast for northern Puebla State. Moderate deficits are expected in pockets of northern Central America, and surpluses in pockets of the south. Exceptional deficits are forecast for Haiti.

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Extreme water deficits expected along Mexico's Pacific Coast

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Extreme water deficits expected along Mexico's Pacific Coast

The forecast through July indicates that intense water deficits observed in Mexico will downgrade considerably. Severe to extreme deficits are, however, expected in Baja and along the Pacific Coast from Sinaloa through Guerrero. Severe deficits are forecast for Tabasco and moderate deficits elsewhere around the Gulf of Mexico. Moderate deficits are also expected in Guatemala, El Salvador, Haiti, and western Cuba.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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