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Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to shrink; surpluses increase

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits to shrink; surpluses increase

The forecast through July indicates that anomalies will shrink and downgrade in Southeast Asia, leaving surpluses in northern and central Vietnam. Surpluses are also forecast for many parts of Indonesia and will be intense in southwestern Sumatra and Flores Island.

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook May 2020

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook May 2020

The May Outlook indicates exceptionally hotter than normal temperatures in a number of regions but anomalies will be particularly widespread across Siberia and eastern Russia reaching the Bering Strait. Precipitation conditions are expected to be relatively normal overall, though Bhutan will be much drier than normal with anomalies reaching into India’s Far Northeast.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List August 2019

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List August 2019

Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period from May 2019 through April 2020 include: Canada, French Guiana, Chile, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Egypt, Libya, Uzbekistan, and New Caledonia. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: the United States, Syria, southern Turkmenistan, Afghanistan, Bangladesh, and southeastern China. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 August 2019

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook June 2019

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook June 2019

Much warmer than normal temperatures are forecast in the June Outlook for much of India, China, and Indonesia. Wetter than normal conditions are expected in central Iran and northern Afghanistan.

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits in Thailand will downgrade but will be severe

Southeast Asia & the Pacific: Water deficits in Thailand will downgrade but will be severe

The forecast through July indicates that water deficits in Thailand and Cambodia will downgrade from exceptional but remain widespread and severe in Thailand and moderate in Cambodia. Prior surpluses in Southeast Asia and Indonesia will nearly disappear as deficits emerge. Severe to extreme deficits are forecast for peninsular Thailand, Malaysia, Borneo, pockets of Sumatra, southern Philippines, and Papua New Guinea.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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