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South Asia: Water Deficits in Uttar Pradesh, Surpluses Now Possible in Odisha

Water deficits are now expected to be most intense during the second half of the monsoon season (August-October 2015), with exceptional deficits centered on Uttar Pradesh and surrounding areas. Moderate surpluses are now forecast for Odisha and northern Andhra Pradesh.

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Update: Water Forecast for the Horn of Africa Moderates #water #drought #Yemen #Ethiopia #Somalia

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The current forecast for the 3-month period ending in October 2015 (below right) indicates that deficits in many areas of the Horn may be widespread and severe with pockets of exceptional deficits in Yemen. However, the large areas of exceptional deficits indicated in the prior forecast (below left) are no longer expected.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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