Exceptional surpluses will persist in northern regions of Mainland Southeast Asia. Most areas of Maritime Southeast Asia will observe near-normal conditions.
Severe to exceptional surpluses are expected to persist in several regions of India and emerge in Bangladesh. Some South Asian countries will observe isolated pockets of deficit.
Exceptional deficit anomalies will continue in southern regions of the Middle East, as well as in coastal regions of Turkey. Isolated pockets of exceptional deficit will also persist in Iran. Southwestern coastal areas of the Middle East will continue to observe moderate to severe surplus.
Exceptional deficits will remain in areas near Lake Baikal and in much of western Russia. Northern and southeastern Kazakhstan will observe continuing surpluses of varying intensity, as will some Russian areas near the Lena River.
The forecast for September 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of June 2023 through May 2024 in northern Africa, northern and western South America, the Middle East, and most of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the western United States, north-central Australia, and southeastern Africa.
The forecast for August 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of May 2023 through April 2024 in northern and southern Africa, European Russia, and most of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the western United States, north-central Australia, and southeastern Africa.
The forecast for July 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of April 2023 through March 2024 in northern and southern Africa, Central Asia, and much of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, northern Australia, and various areas of Russia.
The forecast for June 2023 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of March 2023 through February 2024 in much of South America, central and southern Africa, and much of Canada’s provinces. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, western South Asia, and various areas of Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 7 June 2023.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of February 2023 through January 2024 include the central and Southern Cone region of South America, much of Canada’s provinces, and various areas of Russia. Areas expected to experience surplus include the southwestern and western United States, and eastern South Asia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) 5 May 2023.
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