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South Asia: Water surplus will persist in many regions

South Asia: Water surplus will persist in many regions

The forecast through December indicates that widespread water surpluses will persist in western India and the Deccan Plateau, Bangladesh, eastern Nepal, and many regions of Pakistan and Afghanistan. Intense deficits will emerge in Uttarakhand and Himachal Pradesh.

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List September 2020

ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List September 2020

Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of June 2020 through May 2021 include: Venezuela, French Guiana, Estonia, Latvia, Quebec (Canada), and the U.S. Southwest. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Bangladesh, Pakistan, the Sahel (Africa), and British Columbia (Canada). This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 4 September 2020.

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook September 2020

Global Precipitation & Temperature Outlook September 2020

The September Outlook indicates warmer than normal temperatures across much of the vast expanse of Russia. Exceptionally hotter conditions are forecast from Southeast Asia into China and from the Levant north into Ukraine and southern Russia. Uganda will be much wetter than normal and Chile will be much drier than normal south of Santiago.

South Asia: Water surpluses will shrink but remain widespread

South Asia: Water surpluses will shrink but remain widespread

The forecast through September indicates that water surpluses will shrink but remain widespread. Surpluses will persist in western and central India, increase in Gujarat, remain intense in Pakistan and Afghanistan, and downgrade in Bangladesh. Deficits in southern India and southern Pakistan will nearly disappear.

South Asia: Intense water surplus forecast for Madhya Pradesh

South Asia: Intense water surplus forecast for Madhya Pradesh

The forecast through April indicates that water surpluses will dominate much of India’s breadth and will be exceptional in central Madhya Pradesh. Deficits will emerge in the Far Northeast. Intense surpluses will persist in Bangladesh and Nepal and shrink somewhat in Pakistan and Afghanistan.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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