The forecast through February 2021 indicates that water deficits will shrink, but deficits are forecast around the Gulf of Guinea and in southeastern Ethiopia. Surpluses will remain widespread across much of the Sahel and in East Africa, downgrading in Tanzania but emerging in Zambia.
Africa: Water surplus will persist in the Sahel
Africa: Water surplus to persist in the Sahel & E. Africa
Africa: Water surplus to persist in Sahel & E Africa
The forecast through November indicates that water deficits will shrink and downgrade with exceptional deficits retreating. North Africa can expect generally moderate deficits. Intense pockets are forecast from southern Eritrea into Somaliland. Surpluses will persist in the Sahel and East Africa and will be intense in Tanzania.