In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will occur in southwestern states, as well as in some areas of the Midwest. Severe to exceptional surpluses will linger in southern regions of Florida and in much of the noncontiguous U.S.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will emerge in several western states. Severe to extreme surpluses will arise in southern portions of Florida, as well as throughout the majority of non-contiguous states.
The forecast indicates that intense deficits will persist in pockets of northwestern and midwestern states. Surpluses of moderate to severe intensity will emerge in the Upper Midwest and in southern Florida, as well as in Alaska and Puerto Rico.
The forecast indicates that intense deficits will mostly resolve in the Upper Midwest, but will remain in isolated pockets in western and central states. Moderate to severe surplus may continue in some regions of Texas, Florida, Alaska, and Puerto Rico.
The forecast indicates that intense anomalies will resolve in most regions of the country, though some southern states will observe surpluses of varying intensity.