The forecast for February 2025 expects significant water deficits for the 12-month period of November 2024 through October 2025 in northwestern and central Africa, southwestern U.S., eastern Europe, and central South America. Areas expected to experience surplus include central Africa, northern Canada, and Central America.
In this analysis, we examine the destructive 2024 floods in Yemen and revisit WSIM forecasts which predicted them.
Exceptional deficits will resolve in Mainland Southeast Asia. Some regions of Maritime Southeast Asia can anticipate moderate to severe surpluses.
Surpluses will persist in much of north-central, south-central, and eastern India.
The forecast through June indicates that water surpluses will retreat in the Lower and Middle Yangtze Basin, transitioning to moderate deficits in the Lower Basin. Surpluses will increase in the Pearl River Basin and Southeast China. Deficits will emerge in eastern Mongolia, and Honshu and Hokkaido, Japan.
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