Mexico & C. Amer. & Carib
ISciences staff
Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: ...

Exceptional deficits will continue in northwestern Mexico. Severe to exceptional surpluses will persist in much of Central America. 

Mexico, Central America, & the Caribbean: Exceptional surplus continues throughout central America
South America
ISciences staff
South America: Deficits remain in the Amazon, ...

Widespread deficits in South America will diminish in some countries, but will remain present in several regions of the Amazon, as well as some portions of the Andes.  

South America: Deficits remain in the Amazon, Andes
East Asia
ISciences staff
East Asia: Deficits persist throughout NW ...

Exceptional deficits will remain throughout northwestern China and in the Yangtze River Basin. Central and northeastern China will observe moderate to severe surpluses.  

East Asia: Deficits persist throughout NW China, Yangtze River Basin
Europe
ISciences staff
Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits

Surpluses in western Europe will mostly diminish, while exceptional deficits in eastern Europe will persist.  

Europe: E Europe to endure exceptional deficits
Canada
ISciences staff
Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, ...

Exceptional deficits will remain in regions of Central Canada, the Prairie Provinces, and some of the Northern Territories.  

Canada: Deficits remain in Prairie Provinces, central Canada

Africa

Africa: Water deficits persist in West Africa, Southern Africa; surpluses in Tanzania

Exceptional deficits are forecast to persist and intensify in a swath of countries in coastal West Africa from southern Liberia to Angola, and may continue to emerge in southern Africa. Exceptional surpluses are expected in Tanzania and surrounding areas.

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Update: Water Forecast for the Horn of Africa Moderates #water #drought #Yemen #Ethiopia #Somalia

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The current forecast for the 3-month period ending in October 2015 (below right) indicates that deficits in many areas of the Horn may be widespread and severe with pockets of exceptional deficits in Yemen. However, the large areas of exceptional deficits indicated in the prior forecast (below left) are no longer expected.

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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