Most exceptional surpluses in Maritime Southeast Asia will downgrade in severity, becoming mostly severe to exceptional surpluses in Indonesia and the Philippines, with near-normal conditions occurring in most other regions. Deficits are expected in northern areas of Thailand and Laos.
Pockets of severe to exceptional deficits will occur in northwestern and central Mexico. Significant portions of Central America will observe severe to exceptional surpluses.
Most exceptional deficits in the Middle East will resolve, but will linger in some areas of Saudi Arabia, the Levant, Oman, and Iran. Surpluses of varying intensity will continue in western coastal Yemen and southwestern Saudi Arabia.
Most exceptional surpluses in India will resolve. Some surpluses will persist in north-central and south-central India.
Extreme to exceptional surpluses will resolve in most northern regions of Australia. Isolated exceptional deficits throughout Australia are expected to resolve, but some will remain in southeastern coastal regions of the continent, as well as portions of New Zealand.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of July 2021 through June 2022 include: the U.S. West, Canada, Venezuela, Chile, North Africa, Central Asia, and Hokkaido, Japan. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: China, Nepal, and Bangladesh. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 October 2021.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of June 2021 through May 2022 include: the U.S. West, Canada, North Africa, Central Asia, and Hokkaido, Japan. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Northeast China, the Yellow River, Yangtze River, Nepal, Bangladesh, and the Yenisei River. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 7 September 2021.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of May 2021 through April 2022 include: the U.S. West and Northern Plains, Canada, Chile, North Africa, Central Asia, and Hokkaido, Japan. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Northeast China, the Krishna River Basin in India, and the Yenisei River Basin in Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 4 August 2021.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of April 2021 through March 2022 include: the U.S. West, Chile, North Africa, the Middle East, Estonia, and Latvia. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: the U.S. Gulf States, Botswana, Timor, Northeast China, and the Yenisei River in Russia. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 6 July 2021.
Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of March 2021 through February 2022 include: the U.S. West, the Paraguay and Parana Rivers, North Africa, Turkey, Iran, Estonia, and Latvia. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Louisiana (U.S.), Botswana, Timor, and Northeast China. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 4 June 2021.
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