ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List November 2024

ISCIENCES WORLDWIDE WATER WATCH LIST November 2024

This map presents a selection of regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies during the one year period beginning in August 2024 and running through July 2025 using 3 months of observed temperature and precipitation data and 9 months of forecast data.

The synopsis that follows provides highlights of regional water forecasts. Regional details are available in ISciences Global Water Monitor & Forecast Watch List November 15, 2024 (pdf).

United States: Regions of the Midwest can expect extreme to exceptional deficits to continue until January 2025.

Canada: Portions of the Canadian Shield region can expect exceptional deficits to occur until July 2025 or longer.

Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean: Extreme to exceptional surpluses will continue in southwestern coastal regions of Mexico until April 2025.

South America: Extreme to exceptional deficits are expected to persist in the Amazon until January 2025.

Europe: Northern Europe can anticipate severe to extreme surpluses to occur until January 2025.

Africa: Severe to exceptional surpluses are expected to remain along the Sahel until July 2025 or longer.

Middle East: Exceptional deficits are forecast to endure in Oman until April 2025.

Central Asia and Russia: Extreme to exceptional surpluses are expected to continue in northern and southeastern Kazakhstan until January 2025.

South Asia: Widespread severe to extreme surpluses are anticipated throughout India until April 2025.

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Deficits of moderate to severe intensity are expected to remain in Thailand until April 2025.

East Asia: Northwestern China and the Yangtze River Basin are expected to observe severe to exceptional deficits until January 2025.

Australia & New Zealand: Much of Australia is forecast to experience near-normal conditions until July 2025 or longer.

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Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

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