ISciences Worldwide Water Watch List November 2023

ISCIENCES WORLDWIDE WATER WATCH LIST November 2023

16 November 2023

This map presents a selection of regions likely to encounter significant water anomalies during the one year period beginning in August 2023 and running through July 2024 using 3 months of observed temperature and precipitation data and 9 months of forecast data.

The synopsis that follows provides highlights of regional water forecasts. Regional details are available in ISciences Global Water Monitor & Forecast Watch List November 16, 2023 (pdf).

United States:  Severe to extreme surpluses are expected to linger until January 2024 or longer.

Canada: Widespread exceptional deficits are expected to linger in most Canadian provinces until April 2024 or longer.

Mexico, Central America, and the Caribbean: Widespread deficits are expected to linger throughout Mexico until April 2024 or longer.

South America:  Much of South America is expected to endure exceptional deficits, though these anomalies are expected to dissipate after January 2024, becoming mostly near-normal conditions.

Europe:  The majority of Continental Europe is expected to observe prolonged surpluses, ranging from moderate to extreme intensity until April 2024.

Africa: Widespread deficits in northern African countries are expected to resolve, with near-normal conditions expected across much of the continent throughout April 2024.

Middle East: Exceptional deficits are expected to continue in southern regions of Yemen and Oman throughout April 2024.

Central Asia and Russia: Intense deficits are expected to persist in western and eastern Russia until April 2024, as are intense surpluses in eastern Kazakhstan.

South Asia: Exceptional deficits are expected to persist in areas of Pakistan and western India until January 2024.

Southeast Asia and the Pacific: Widespread intense deficits are expected to occur in most Indonesian regions in Maritime Southeast Asia, which are expected to resolve after January 2024.

East Asia: Intense deficits are expected to persist across northern China until January 2024.

Australia & New Zealand:  Much of Australia is expected to experience near-normal conditions through July 2024, though western Tasmania is expected to observe severe to extreme deficits through January 2024.

Subscribe to our monthly Water Watch List

Search blog categories

Search blog tags

Many analyses reported in ISciences-authored blog posts are based on data generated by the ISciences Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM). Other sources, if used, are referenced in footnotes accompanying individual posts. WSIM is a validated capability that produces monthly reports on current and forecast global freshwater surpluses and deficits with lead times of 1-9 months at 0.25°x0.25° resolution. This capability has been in continuous operation since April 2011 and has proven to provide reliable forecasts of emerging water security concerns in that time-frame. WSIM has the ability to assess the impacts of water anomalies on people, agriculture, and electricity generation. Detailed data, customized visualizations, and reports are available for purchase.

For more information contact info@isciences.com.

Copyright 2022 ISCIENCES, L.L.C. Global Water Monitor & Forecast Watch List is the property of ISCIENCES, L.L.C. It is protected by U.S. copyright laws and may not be reproduced in any way without the written permission of ISCIENCES, L.L.C. The user assumes the entire risk related to its use of information on ISCIENCES, L.L.C. Web pages, including information derived from Water Security Indicators Model (WSIM). This information may include forecasts, projections and other predictive statements that represent ISCIENCES, L.L.C.’s assumptions and expectations in light of currently available information and using the highest professional standards. Actual results may differ from those projected. Consequently, no guarantee is presented or implied as to the accuracy of specific forecasts, projections or predictive statements contained herein. ISCIENCES, L.L.C. provides such information "as is," and disclaims any and all warranties, whether express or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will ISCIENCES, L.L.C. be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data.