Regions forecast to have significant water deficits for the 12-month period of March 2020 through February 2021 include: Chile, Venezuela, French Guiana, Finland, Estonia, Latvia, Equatorial Guinea, and Gabon. Areas with a forecast of significant water surplus include: Kenya, Tanzania, Pakistan, Afghanistan, northern European Russia, and Tennessee and Michigan in the US. This Watch List is based on ISciences Water Security Indicator Model v2 (WSIMv2) run on 5 June 2020.
Canada: Exceptional water surpluses to emerge in southeastern BC
The forecast through July indicates that exceptional water deficits in northern Quebec will shrink though vast areas will persist. Moderate surpluses are forecast in the Gatineau River Watershed north of Ottawa. Deficits will increase in Southern Ontario but a pocket of moderate surplus will persist west of Toronto. Surpluses will increase in southeastern British Columbia and will be exceptional.
Canada: Water surplus will emerge in Gatineau River Watershed
The forecast through June indicates water surpluses near Toronto and Calgary, and deficits for Winnipeg, Regina, and Vancouver Island. Deficits will shrink in Quebec but remain widespread in the north, and surpluses will emerge in the Gatineau River Watershed. Surpluses will increase in southeastern British Columbia.
Canada: Water surpluses will increase in southern BC
Canada: Exceptional water deficits to persist in northern QC
The forecast through April indicates nearly normal water conditions for Québec City with deficits to the south, deficits near Ottawa and Regina, and surpluses near Toronto and Calgary. Exceptional deficits are forecast for much of northern Quebec. Surpluses are forecast for southern British Columbia.