The forecast through April indicates widespread water surpluses in the Yellow River Basin, the Yangtze Basin, Northeast China, and Tibet. Intense deficits are expected in Yunnan and Mongolia and severe deficits in Hainan. In North Korea, deficits are forecast in the northeast.
East Asia: Water surpluses forecast for southern China
East Asia: Water deficits forecast for DPRK, Shandong, & Anhui
Through January 2020 deficits are forecast for Mongolia, North Korea, and the following regions of China: eastern Xinjiang, southern Yunnan, Taiwan, Fujian, the Shandong Peninsula, southern Henan, Anhui, and Jiangsu. Anomalies will be exceptional in Xinjiang, Mongolia, Yunnan, and Taiwan. Surpluses are forecast in Northeast China and a wide path from Tibet through the Yellow River Basin.
East Asia: Intense water surpluses will persist in NE China
The forecast through December indicates intense water surpluses in Northeast China and surpluses of varying intensity from Tibet through the Yellow River Watershed. Surpluses in China’s south and southeast will shrink and moderate. Deficits are forecast for Shandong, northern Inner Mongolia, eastern Xinjiang, Mongolia, and pockets of North Korea and Honshu, Japan.
East Asia: Severe water deficits forecast for North Korea
The forecast through September indicates that water surpluses will shrink and moderate in southeastern China, downgrade in Qinghai and western Tibet, and moderate in northeastern China. Deficits will shrink in Sichuan and in Yunnan but remain intense, and intense deficits in Henan and Shandong will disappear. Deficits in central Korea will shrink but remain severe in southern North Korea and into South Korea around Seoul. Deficits could be exceptional near Pyongyang.