In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
The forecast indicates that extreme to exceptional surpluses will persist throughout India and Nepal. Exceptional deficits will expand throughout regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan.
The forecast indicates that severe to exceptional surpluses are expected to endure throughout much of southern to central India. Extreme to exceptional deficits will expand throughout regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan.
The forecast indicates that severe to exceptional surpluses will expand in southern regions of India, while pockets of exceptional deficits emerge in Afghanistan and Pakistan.
The forecast indicates that intense surpluses will continue in southern India. Surpluses in western to central India will expand, as well deficits in northernmost India.
The forecast indicates that moderate to severe surpluses will appear in central India, while extreme to exceptional surpluses will continue in southern coastal regions of the country. Intense deficits are anticipated in regions of northern India and Bangladesh.