In this new series, we examine recent prolonged drought in the Yangtze River Basin, its impact on the affected regions, and the historical accuracy of the Water Security Indicator Model (WSIM) forecasts in East Asia.
Exceptional deficits will spread throughout the Russian Plain, northern coastal Russia, and regions near Lake Baikal. Surpluses are expected in some portions of northern Russia and north-central Kazakhstan.
Severe to exceptional deficits will occur throughout most of eastern Europe. Severe to exceptional surpluses in western Europe are expected to dissipate.
Exceptional deficits will remain in northwestern and southern regions of China, while isolated surplus anomalies will continue in western and northeastern areas of the country.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern China, southwestern Mongolia, and in the Yangtze River Basin. Surpluses of severe to exceptional intensity are expected to appear in western, southern, and northeastern regions of China.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will remain throughout northwestern China and in pockets of western and southern portions of the country. Extreme to exceptional surpluses are anticipated in west-central and northeastern regions of China.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will continue throughout northwestern China. Western and northeastern regions of China will experience severe to exceptional surpluses.
The forecast indicates that exceptional deficits will persist in northwestern and southern China. Pockets of severe to exceptional surpluses will continue in southwestern to central China, as well as isolated regions of southeastern and northeastern China.